Extended Range Tornado Activity Forecasts (ERTAF)
ERTAF 2016 has concluded!
FCSTDATE |
FCST2START |
FCST2END |
FCST3START |
FCST3END |
CLIMO2 |
CLIMO3 |
ACT2 |
ACT3 |
PN2 |
PN3 |
ACT2C |
ACT3C |
FCST2 |
FCST3 |
VERF2 |
VERF3 |
2/28/2016 |
3/6/2016 |
3/12/2016 |
3/13/2016 |
3/19/2016 |
7 |
31 |
48% |
223% |
BA |
AA |
AA |
AA |
-1 |
1 |
||
3/6/2016 |
3/13/2016 |
3/19/2016 |
3/20/2016 |
3/26/2016 |
31 |
8 |
223% |
59% |
AA |
BA |
AA |
A |
1 |
0 |
||
3/13/2016 |
3/20/2016 |
3/26/2016 |
3/27/2016 |
4/2/2016 |
8 |
30 |
59% |
120% |
BA |
A |
A |
A |
0 |
1 |
||
3/20/2016 |
3/27/2016 |
4/2/2016 |
4/3/2016 |
4/9/2016 |
30 |
14 |
120% |
47% |
A |
BA |
BA |
A |
0 |
|
||
3/27/2016 |
4/3/2016 |
4/9/2016 |
4/10/2016 |
4/16/2016 |
14 |
16 |
47% |
42% |
BA |
BA |
BA |
BA |
|
|
||
4/3/2016 |
4/10/2016 |
4/16/2016 |
4/17/2016 |
4/23/2016 |
16 |
3 |
42% |
8% |
BA |
BA |
BA |
AA |
|
|
||
4/10/2016 |
4/17/2016 |
4/23/2016 |
4/24/2016 |
4/30/2016 |
3 |
68 |
8% |
127% |
BA |
AA |
AA |
A |
|
|
||
4/17/2016 |
4/24/2016 |
4/30/2016 |
5/1/2016 |
5/7/2016 |
68 |
15 |
127% |
28% |
AA |
BA |
AA |
AA |
|
|
||
4/24/2016 |
5/1/2016 |
5/7/2016 |
5/8/2016 |
5/14/2016 |
15 |
65 |
28% |
115% |
BA |
A |
BA |
A |
|
|
||
5/1/2016 |
5/8/2016 |
5/14/2016 |
5/15/2016 |
5/21/2016 |
65 |
21 |
115% |
43% | A | BA | BA | A |
0 |
|
||
5/8/2016 |
5/15/2016 |
5/21/2016 |
5/22/2016 |
5/28/2016 |
21 |
124 |
43% |
212% |
BA |
AA |
A |
A |
0 |
|
||
5/15/2016 |
5/22/2016 |
5/28/2016 |
5/29/2016 |
6/4/2016 |
124 |
14 |
212% |
21% | AA | BA | A | BA | 0 | 1 | ||
5/22/2016 |
5/29/2016 |
6/4/2016 |
6/5/2016 |
6/11/2016 |
14 |
10 |
21% |
10% |
BA |
BA |
BA |
A |
1 |
0 |
||
5/29/2016 |
6/5/2016 |
6/11/2016 |
6/12/2016 |
6/18/2016 |
10 |
27 |
10% |
52% | BA | BA |
BA |
A |
1 |
0 |
||
6/5/2016 |
6/12/2016 |
6/18/2016 |
6/19/2016 |
6/25/2016 |
52.5 |
43.5 |
27 |
48 |
52% |
111% |
BA |
A |
A |
A |
0 |
1 |
All tornado report data is from the Storm Prediction Center and should be considered preliminary pending final review. |
Verification Legend |
||
-1 | 0 | 1 |
More than 50% of Normal Error | No More than 50% of Normal Error | Correct % of Normal Threshold |
Explanation of column headers can be found here.
© 2015-2016 Victor Gensini