Extended Range Tornado Activity Forecasts (ERTAF)

ERTAF 2016 has concluded!

FCSTDATE

FCST2START

FCST2END

FCST3START

FCST3END

CLIMO2

CLIMO3

ACT2

ACT3

PN2

PN3

ACT2C

ACT3C

FCST2

FCST3

VERF2

VERF3

2/28/2016

3/6/2016

3/12/2016

3/13/2016

3/19/2016

14.6

13.9

7

31

48%

223%

BA

AA

AA

AA

-1

1

3/6/2016

3/13/2016

3/19/2016

3/20/2016

3/26/2016

13.9

13.5

31

8

223%

59%

AA

BA

AA

A

1

0

3/13/2016

3/20/2016

3/26/2016

3/27/2016

4/2/2016

13.5

25.0

8

30

59%

120%

BA

A

A

A

0

1

3/20/2016

3/27/2016

4/2/2016

4/3/2016

4/9/2016

25.0

30.0

30

14

120%

 47%

A

BA

BA

A

0

0

3/27/2016

4/3/2016

4/9/2016

4/10/2016

4/16/2016

30.0

38.2

14

16

47%

 42%

BA

BA

BA

BA

1

1

4/3/2016

4/10/2016

4/16/2016

4/17/2016

4/23/2016

38.2

36.3

16

3

42%

8%

BA

 BA

BA

AA

1

-1

 4/10/2016

4/17/2016 

4/23/2016

4/24/2016

4/30/2016

36.3

53,2

 3

68

8%

127%

BA

AA

AA

A

-1

0

4/17/2016

4/24/2016

4/30/2016

5/1/2016

5/7/2016

53.2

52.9

 68

15

127%

28%

AA

BA

AA

AA

1

-1

 4/24/2016

5/1/2016 

5/7/2016

5/8/2016

5/14/2016

52.9

56.5

15

65

28%

115%

BA

A

BA

A

1

1

 5/1/2016 

5/8/2016

5/14/2016

5/15/2016

5/21/2016

 56.5

48.6

65

21

115%

43% A BA BA A

0

0

 5/8/2016

5/15/2016 

5/21/2016

5/22/2016

5/28/2016

48.6

59.9

21

124

43%

212%

BA

AA

A

A

0

0

 5/15/2016 

5/22/2016

5/28/2016

5/29/2016

6/4/2016

59.9

67.3

124

14

212%

21% AA  BA A BA 0 1

 5/22/2016

5/29/2016 

6/4/2016

6/5/2016

6/11/2016

67.3

62

14

10

21%

10%

BA

BA

BA

A

1

0

 5/29/2016 

6/5/2016

6/11/2016

6/12/2016

6/18/2016

62

52.5

10

27

10%

52% BA BA

BA

A

1

0

 6/5/2016

6/12/2016 

6/18/2016

6/19/2016

6/25/2016

52.5

43.5

27

48

52%

111%

BA

A

A

A

0

1

 

All tornado report data is from the Storm Prediction Center and should be considered preliminary pending final review.

 

Verification Legend

-1 0 1
More than 50% of Normal Error No More than 50% of Normal Error Correct % of Normal Threshold

Explanation of column headers can be found here.

 

© 2015-2016  Victor Gensini