Extended Range Tornado Activity Forecasts (ERTAF)
ERTAF 2015 has concluded!
|
FCSTDATE |
FCST2START |
FCST2END |
FCST3START |
FCST3END |
CLIMO2 |
CLIMO3 |
ACT2 |
ACT3 |
PN2 |
PN3 |
ACT2C |
ACT3C |
FCST2 |
FCST3 |
VERF2 |
VERF3 |
|
3/1/2015 |
3/8/2015 |
3/14/2015 |
3/15/2015 |
3/21/2015 |
16.4 |
12.2 |
0 |
0 |
0% |
0% |
BA |
BA |
BA |
BA |
1 |
1 |
|
3/8/2015 |
3/15/2015 |
3/21/2015 |
3/22/2015 |
3/28/2015 |
12.2 |
20 |
0 |
11 |
0% |
55% |
BA |
BA |
BA |
BA |
1 |
1 |
|
3/15/2015 |
3/22/2015 |
3/28/2015 |
3/29/2015 |
4/4/2015 |
20 |
24.7 |
11 |
23 |
55% |
93% |
BA |
A |
BA |
BA |
1 |
0 |
|
3/22/2015 |
3/29/2015 |
4/4/2015 |
4/5/2015 |
4/11/2015 |
24.7 |
32.3 |
23 |
42 |
93% |
130% |
A |
AA |
A |
AA |
1 |
1 |
|
3/29/2015 |
4/5/2015 |
4/11/2015 |
4/12/2015 |
4/18/2015 |
32.3 |
32.1 |
42 |
32 |
130% |
100% |
AA |
A |
AA |
A |
1 |
1 |
|
4/5/2015 |
4/12/2015 |
4/18/2015 |
4/19/2015 |
4/25/2015 |
32.1 |
42.9 |
32 |
51 |
100% |
119% |
A |
A |
A |
A |
1 |
1 |
|
4/12/2015 |
4/19/2015 |
4/25/2015 |
4/26/2015 |
5/2/2015 |
42.9 |
52 |
51 |
28 |
119% |
54% |
A |
BA |
A |
BA |
1 |
1 |
|
4/19/2015 |
4/26/2015 |
5/2/2015 |
5/3/2015 |
5/9/2015 |
52 |
60.4 |
28 |
123 |
54% |
203% |
BA |
AA |
A |
A |
0 |
0 |
|
4/26/2015 |
5/3/2015 |
5/9/2015 |
5/10/2015 |
5/16/2015 |
60.4 |
56 |
123 |
101 |
203% |
180% |
AA |
AA |
A |
AA |
0 |
1 |
|
5/3/2015 |
5/10/2015 |
5/16/2015 |
5/17/2015 |
5/23/2015 |
56 |
46.8 |
101 |
53 |
180% |
113% |
AA |
A |
A |
AA |
0 |
0 |
|
5/10/2015 |
5/17/2015 |
5/23/2015 |
5/24/2015 |
5/30/2015 |
46.8 |
52.7 |
53 |
115 |
113% |
218% |
A |
AA |
AA |
A |
0 |
0 |
|
5/17/2015 |
5/24/2015 |
5/30/2015 |
5/31/2015 |
6/6/2015 |
52.7 |
62.4 |
115 |
|
218% |
59% |
AA |
BA |
A |
A |
0 |
0 |
|
5/24/2015 |
5/31/2015 |
6/6/2015 |
6/7/2015 |
6/13/2015 |
62.4 |
62 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
BA |
A |
1 |
1 |
|
5/31/2015 |
6/7/2015 |
6/13/2015 |
6/14/2015 |
6/20/2015 |
62 |
46 |
|
|
|
91% |
|
A |
BA |
A |
1 |
1 |
|
6/7/2015 |
6/14/2015 |
6/20/2015 |
6/21/2015 |
6/27/2015 |
46 |
45.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
AA |
AA |
0 |
1 |
|
6/14/2015 |
6/21/2015 |
6/27/2015 |
N/A |
N/A |
45.1 |
N/A |
|
N/A |
133% |
N/A |
|
|
|
N/A |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
All tornado report data is from the Storm Prediction Center and should be considered preliminary pending final review.
|
Verification Legend |
||
| -1 | 0 | 1 |
| More than 50% of Normal Error | No More than 50% of Normal Error | Correct % of Normal Threshold |
Explanation of column headers can be found here.
© 2015-2016 Victor Gensini